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Leash Bio releases Minos, a replayable drug-discovery lab for scoring AI scientist agents

Leash Bio's Minos turns millions of pre-measured molecule–protein binding results into a replayable lab. AI agents choose experiments on a fixed budget, and each choice is scored against every experiment they skipped. The aim is a test models cannot game.

From the Latent Space podcast episode of October 26, 2026 and cited sources: Minos gives an agent a budget of about 100 picks from a library of roughly 6.3M molecules, all measured before the agent starts. [3] [6]

SOURCES[3] Making reality replayable – Leash Bio leashbio.substack.com[6] Lab-in-the-Loop at Compute Speed – Latent Space swyx.substack.com

AI-assisted, not human-edited. Methodology Corrections Who owns this site

KEY FACTS
What happened
Minos gives an agent a budget of about 100 picks from a library of roughly 6.3M molecules, all measured before the agent starts. [3] [6]
Original source
Latent Space podcast episode, independent perspective
Brief by
AT Pulse research desk AI-assisted; publisher and contact on the desk page
Studies
arXiv 2512.20924 (Dec 2025) [2] and arXiv 2602.13503 (Feb 2026) [5] date from arXiv ID
When
October 26, 2026 podcast episode published
Evidence
9 sources across 7 sites; no transcript
28/100RisingHow it’s measured

YouTube video · 2.4K views · 18 likes

Reach blends public engagement (views, likes, comments, shares, stars) from the platforms where the story or its original source lives: YouTube, Hacker News, GitHub, Substack and similar. A video and the article written from its transcript share one score, taken from the video. Platforms with no data are left out rather than counted as zero, and the age of a story never lowers its score.

Illustration from YouTube: Leash Bio releases Minos, a replayable drug-discovery lab for scoring AI scientist agents
Image: YouTube — Original article ↗
THE CORE IDEAS3 TAKEAWAYS
01

Minos gives an agent a budget of about 100 picks from a library of roughly 6.3M molecules, all measured before the agent starts. Because every result is already known, each decision can be compared with the experiments the agent did not run. The flagship task covers 33 protein targets, and the release includes open data and agent reasoning traces. [3] [6]

02

Leash argues that public chemistry data teaches models to recognize the chemist instead of the chemistry. In its preprint, a classifier identified a molecule's author among 1,815 chemists with 60% top-5 accuracy. Author probability alone predicted bioactivity about as well as a simple structure-based baseline. The authors recommend splits where no chemist appears in both training and test data. [2] [4]

03

In early Minos runs, stronger models made some progress. Weaker ones got stuck in narrow regions of chemical space, left budget unused, re-tested the same molecules and adjusted poorly to contradictory results. No model names or scores have been published, so these patterns cannot be checked against rankings. [3]

WHY IT MATTERS

Leash's studies show public chemistry data leaks chemist identity, and Kaggle competition models failed on unseen chemical libraries.

Read the full assessment

Implication: teams building AI-scientist agents may gain a verifiable, budgeted training and evaluation task, but whether it predicts real drug-discovery success is untested.

Writing up the dossier now from the reviewed sources.

Executive brief

Leash Bio is a drug-discovery startup. Its CEO, Ian Quigley, argues that public chemistry data teaches models to recognise the chemist rather than the chemistry. In a Leash preprint, a classifier picked the author of a molecule out of 1,815 chemists with 60% top-5 accuracy, and a model given only that "author probability" predicted bioactivity about as well as a simple structure-based baseline (arXiv). Leash's answer is Minos. It is a "replayable" lab: millions of molecules were measured in advance, so an AI agent's choices can be scored against every experiment it could have run instead (Leash blog). The idea is to test AI scientists against real physical results rather than benchmarks they can game.

What changed and event timeline

  1. Independent profile of Leash's anti-cheating methods

    Owl Posting described Leash's strict train/test splits and BELKA's failure to generalise, and said the generalisation problem remains unsolved ().

  2. "Clever Hans in Chemistry" preprint

    Blevins and Quigley showed that ChEMBL activity models can rely on chemist-style signals, and recommended splitting data so no author appears in both training and test sets ().

  3. Hermes preprint

    A lightweight transformer trained only on DNA-encoded library (DEL) screens against hundreds of proteins. The authors report that it generalises to held-out targets and new scaffolds ().

  4. Minos released

    Leash published a preprint, a blog post, data at strelka.leash.bio, Harbor packages and agent reasoning traces (). The same day, Latent Space posted the full Quigley interview ().

  5. Short "answer key" clip published

    Latent Space released a short-form segment focused on the evaluation idea (;).

Capabilities and access

  • Minos: an agent searches a library of about 6.3M molecules for the best binders to a protein target, with a budget of about 100 molecules (Leash blog).
  • The flagship task covers 33 targets.
  • Release: preprint, open data, Harbor packages and thousands of reasoning traces.
Read the full section
  • Minos: an agent searches a library of about 6.3M molecules for the best binders to a protein target, with a budget of about 100 molecules (Leash blog). Latent Space gives the library size as 6.5M (Latent Space).
  • The flagship task covers 33 targets. Leash ran about 100,000 trajectories in six weeks and says it adds 2 new environments a day, aiming for 20 a day (Leash blog).
  • Release: preprint, open data, Harbor packages and thousands of reasoning traces.
  • No language models are named in the blog.

Technical analysis for researchers and developers

  • Evaluation design: the whole library is measured before any agent runs. A real lab-in-the-loop run could only learn this by paying for those experiments.
  • Inspecting behaviour: stated intent, actual actions and physical outcomes can all be examined, which makes the environment usable for studying agent policies and for reinforcement learning.
  • Data controls: DEL molecules carry dozens of barcodes each, to catch false hits caused by protein–DNA binding.
Read the full section
  • Evaluation design: the whole library is measured before any agent runs. Every agent decision can then be compared with what the molecules it skipped would have shown. A real lab-in-the-loop run could only learn this by paying for those experiments. Leash puts the number of possible trajectories per target at about 10^638 (Leash blog).
  • Inspecting behaviour: stated intent, actual actions and physical outcomes can all be examined, which makes the environment usable for studying agent policies and for reinforcement learning.
  • Data controls: DEL molecules carry dozens of barcodes each, to catch false hits caused by protein–DNA binding. Leash also engineered protein mutants ("breaking the pocket") to block model shortcuts (Latent Space).
  • Splits: removing shared building blocks between training and test sets cut usable training data by 66% (Owl Posting).

Claims and evidence

  • Agents: stronger models can do the Minos task "at least a little bit."
  • Chemist-style leakage: 1,815 authors, 60% top-5 accuracy (arXiv). Owl Posting reports 27% top-1 (Owl Posting).
  • Hermes vs Boltz-2: 0.761 vs 0.577 AUROC on Leash's private data.
Read the full section
  • Agents: stronger models can do the Minos task "at least a little bit." Weaker models stay stuck in local regions of chemical space, leave budget unused, re-test the same molecules and update poorly on contradictory results (Leash blog). No scores or model names are published in the blog, so these findings cannot be checked against rankings.
  • Chemist-style leakage: 1,815 authors, 60% top-5 accuracy (arXiv). Owl Posting reports 27% top-1 (Owl Posting).
  • Hermes vs Boltz-2: 0.761 vs 0.577 AUROC on Leash's private data. Leash reported this and Owl Posting relayed it; no independent replication was found in the reviewed sources (Owl Posting).
  • BELKA: about 2,000 Kaggle teams took part, and none beat chance on unseen chemical libraries (Latent Space).

Context and prior work

BELKA was Leash's Kaggle release of 133M molecules screened against three proteins (Introducing BELKA). The Clever Hans paper extends the same leakage argument to public ChEMBL benchmarks. Minos repackages Leash's proprietary DEL measurements as agent environments, which moves the company from benchmark provider to supplier of environments for training and evaluating AI scientists (Latent Space).

Read the full section

BELKA was Leash's Kaggle release of 133M molecules screened against three proteins (Introducing BELKA). Its result, near-random performance on unseen building blocks, motivated the strict splits used in Hermes. The Clever Hans paper extends the same leakage argument to public ChEMBL benchmarks. Minos repackages Leash's proprietary DEL measurements as agent environments, which moves the company from benchmark provider to supplier of environments for training and evaluating AI scientists (Latent Space).

Limitations, safety and contested findings

  • Agents can only choose from molecules that were already screened. Anything outside the measured library has no answer (Leash blog).
  • DEL binding signals are not the same as potency, pharmacokinetics or safety.
  • Sources differ on figures: library size (6.3M vs 6.5M) and author-ID accuracy (top-5 vs top-1 metrics).
Read the full section
  • Agents can only choose from molecules that were already screened. Anything outside the measured library has no answer (Leash blog).
  • DEL binding signals are not the same as potency, pharmacokinetics or safety.
  • Sources differ on figures: library size (6.3M vs 6.5M) and author-ID accuracy (top-5 vs top-1 metrics).
  • Owl Posting cautions that chemical space is far larger than any training data, and that Hermes's results need broader validation (Owl Posting).
  • No independent evaluation of Minos was found.

Business and practitioner implications

  • Benchmarks: chemistry benchmarks built from public data should be checked for author leakage. Author-disjoint and building-block-disjoint splits are cheap tests.
  • Agent builders: Minos offers a budgeted, verifiable scientific task that scores decision quality, not just final answers.
  • Strategy: the advantage Leash claims is proprietary, perturbation-designed lab data rather than model architecture (ecosistemastartup). Buyers should still wait for third-party results.
Read the full section
  • Benchmarks: chemistry benchmarks built from public data should be checked for author leakage. Author-disjoint and building-block-disjoint splits are cheap tests.
  • Agent builders: Minos offers a budgeted, verifiable scientific task that scores decision quality, not just final answers. Relevant for anyone training AI-scientist agents with reinforcement learning.
  • Strategy: the advantage Leash claims is proprietary, perturbation-designed lab data rather than model architecture (ecosistemastartup). Buyers should still wait for third-party results.
FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

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